Mumbai, April 9, 2025: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected retail inflation to average 4% in the financial year 2025–26, citing a broadly balanced risk outlook. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, in the monetary policy statement, highlighted that a normal monsoon and easing food prices could support inflation moderation, although global trade uncertainty and geopolitical tensions remain potential threats.
The central bank maintained its commitment to achieving the 4% inflation target on a durable basis, indicating a data-dependent approach going forward. While the domestic inflation trajectory is expected to remain stable, the RBI noted that vigilance is essential due to fluctuating commodity prices, climate-related disruptions, and volatile global markets.
